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Playing the Tips

Expert Picks: WGC Mexico

by Matt Cooper

Welcome to Playing the Tips! 

Each week this will be the one-stop resource to soak in all the picks from our fantasy staffers at Rotoworld.com. 

Page 1 is going to look at Daily Fantasy Sports picks (FanDuel, Yahoo, and DraftKings).

Page 2 will have a look at One-and-Done, PGATOUR.com's fantasy game, and Fantasy Race to Dubai. 
 

Daily Fantasy Sports [DFS]

I will be giving out selections for one team for each DFS site, per week. 
 

These lineups will be entered into a large-entry Guaranteed Prize Pool. That means we need to take a risk or two, in order to separate ourselves from the field. 

The idea is to provide you a list of names to consider. I would not recommend copying these teams, golfer for golfer. Duplicate teams are no fun and don't help anyone. 

 

Josh Culp's FanDuel Picks:

Sergio Garcia (10,000): He's compared this to some of his favorite courses due to the tree-lined nature and small greens. He's backed up that love with finished of T12 and T7 in two tries. 

Tommy Fleetwood (10,300): Finished runner-up here in 2017 and "settled" for T14 last year. Even the T14 would likely pay off this tag so that makes him an easy plug and play. 

 

Rafa Cabrera Bello (9,900): "I think it’s a golf course that suits — I mean that you need to drive it good. If you’re in play, you won’t get away with hitting too wide off the tee." Confidence on the layout should help him ease his way around Chapultepec this week. 

 

Patrick Cantlay (10,400): Struggled with distance control in his debut here last year (-3.05 SG Approach) but he should only improve on his second look. Withdrew ahead of Pebble Beach which means he's only playing back-to-back weeks, not three in a row. 

 

Alex Noren (9,600): A two-time champ at Crans Sur Sierre on the European Tour. On paper the course is a great fit so last year's T14 is more likely than the T55 in 2017. 

 

Charles Howell III (9,700): Hasn't slowed down since his fall win at the RSM. Including that week, he's gained 4+ strokes over the field in 5 of his last 6 starts. 

 

Josh Culp's DraftKings Picks:
 

Tommy Fleetwood (8,200): Criminally underpriced on DK. Ball-striking is his forte so this tight, tree-lined layout is right up his alley. Finished runner-up here in 2017. 

 

Bryson DeChambeau (10,000): When talking about the elements last week he said he may not have them right away but planned to figure things out by the end of the week. That applies even more so this week where he's guaranteed four rounds. If the altitude stumps him out of the gate then he'll go back to the lab and get it figured out. Can't ignore his winning prowess over the last year. 

 

Gary Woodland (7,900): Has a win in altitude (Reno Tahoe) and also won at TPC Scottsdale where altitude is a tiny factor, as well. He's also gained 5+ strokes on approach in two of his last four starts leading up to this event. 

 

Abraham Ancer (6,600): Ranks 25th in the field in total number of "go-low rounds" over the last year. That looks for rounds where you beat the field average by more than 3 strokes. Add in the home narrative and Ancer brings plenty of upside for this price point. 

 

Sergio Garcia (8,000): Gained 5.4 strokes on approach last week. Loves the course here in Mexico City. 
 

Tony Finau (8,900): As a Utah native he should be more comfortable than most in high altitude. 

 

 

Dave Tindall's DraftKings Picks

Jon Rahm ($10,700) – Anything south of $11k looks good business here. Third on debut at Chapultepec, T20 last year and a top-ten machine of late.

 

Xander Schauffele ($9,100) – T18 here last year although played better than that (T6 after 54 holes). Already has three top sixes from seven starts in the majors and a win and three other top 20s from just six WGCs.

 

Marc Leishman ($8,700) – Some good correlation between Riviera and Chapultepec and the Aussie was T6 last week, the latest in a string of big finishes in recent months. Played well for 54 holes here in 2018.

 

Rafa Cabrera Bello ($7,800) – RCB made the top 25 at both Pebble and Riviera and was also T6 in Hong Kong back in November – all courses with small greens. And we already know he likes it here thanks to last year’s top three.

 

Aaron Rai ($6,500) – Has form at altitude and on small greens (winner in Hong Kong recently). Remember Shubhankar Sharma last year? Rai could be this week’s surprise Euro Tour package.

 

Lee Westwood ($7,100) – Test the memory further by heading back to 2017 and noting that Westwood was T5 with 18 to play before a Sunday 78. Spring in his step again and winner at Nedbank in November.

  

Total salary: $49,900

 

On the cusp: Tiger Woods ($9,500), Paul Casey ($8,600), Charles Howell III ($7,800), Matthew Fitzpatrick ($7,600), Cameron Smith ($7,400), Richard Sterne ($6,700) 

 

 

Matt Cooper's DraftKings Picks

Phil Mickelson ($9,300) – Surprised himself with second in Phoenix, then acted like the cat that had the cream when winning at Pebble Beach. On another track he adores (T7-1st) I can see more of the same. 

 

Jon Rahm ($10,700) – He likes the test, loves the aggression he can throw at the course, and he arrives fresh from six top tens. What’s not to love?

 

Xander Schauffele ($9,100) – If Schauffele falls off a cliff this year I might be behind him because I intend to follow him as long as he is deemed less than top grade. Fast finisher in L.A. last week for T15.

 

Alex Noren ($7,100) – T14 on the course last year and he has finally started to show his true game at WGC level. A winner at altitude in Crans, lots of potential for the price.

 

Danny Willett ($6,600) – It’s taken him a long time (since he won the Masters) but last week he finally notched two consecutive made cuts in America. Another winner at altitude and the type who likes the big stage.

 

Aaron Rai ($6,500) – A Euro Tour bolter this week. A bargain price for a golfer who has won the Hong Kong Open (toppling playing partners Tommy Fleetwood and Matt Fitzpatrick in R4) and has a win at altitude (Kenyan Open on the Challenge Tour).

 

Total salary: $49,300

 

On the cusp: Justin Thomas ($11,800), Marc Leishman ($8,700), Paul Casey ($8,600), Bubba Watson (8,400), Rafa Cabrera Bello ($7,800), Matt Wallace ($7,300)

 

 

Josh Culp's Yahoo Picks:
 

Dustin Johnson ($47): Won the inaugural edition at Chapultepec. Was off his game last week and still managed a top 10. 

 

Justin Thomas ($48): Owns the course record here at Chapultepec. Lost in a playoff last year and also a near-winner last week at the Riv. 

 

Shane Lowry ($20): Won a WGC at Firestone, another tight, tree-lined layout. Also won recently on the Euro Tour. 
 

Abraham Ancer ($20): Riding the local angle, I like his chances to rebound after a trio of poor starts out West. 

 

Aaron Wise ($20): He's entering amidst a slump but the reigning Rookie of the Year won't stay quiet for long. Setting up shop in Las Vegas, dealing with altitude won't be too foreign to him. 

 

Bryson DeChambeau ($43): Seven international wins since the start of 2016. 

Matt Cooper