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Roundball Stew

Stew: 30-Deep Recap, Part 2

by Matt Stroup
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

It is known as 30-Deep — a nod to the number of owners in the league — but you could make a case that it should be known as 360-Deep, which is the total number of players we draft in this somewhat insane annual tradition.

Last week I brought you some analysis of the first 100 picks. Today, the thrilling conclusion: a breakdown of picks 101-200.

A reminder: For more 30-Deep reading, you can check out Ryan Knaus’ writeup of the proceedings right here.

Now to the picks… pausing after every 10 for some commentary…

101. Kris Dunn
102. De’Aaron Fox
103. Jonas Valanciunas
104. Nikola Mirotic
105. Pau Gasol
106. Marvin Williams
107. Eric Gordon
108. Markieff Morris - Nick Raducanu
109. John Collins
110. Dwight Howard

Comments: It was only a few years ago that I had high hopes for Valanciunas as a fantasy prospect. Instead, he has settled in as a reliably bland option. Check out his points, rebounds and blocks the last four years: ppg 11.3 -> 12.0 -> 12.8 -> 12.0 // rpg 8.8 -> 8.7 -> 9.1 -> 9.5 // bpg 0.9 -> 1.2 -> 1.3 -> 0.8. He’s still just 25 years old, but his upside seems pretty capped. … Speaking of reliably bland, Marvin Williams has been the No. 49- and No. 68-ranked player in 9-category leagues the last two seasons. This is a part of the draft where it’s fun to start looking for upside — with lottery tickets like Josh Jackson (No. 100) and others available — but there’s nothing wrong with making one or two safe picks late. … Another late-round flier to keep in mind is De’Aaron Fox, who put up 12 and 16 points in his first two preseason games before stalling out due to a bruised back. It’s hard to see how the Kings will be able to resist unleashing him sooner rather than later. … As a Hawks fan I want John Collins to be playing a lot of minutes early on, but I’m not sure it’s gonna happen. Veterans Ersan Ilyasova, Dewayne Dedmon and Mike Muscala are all currently standing in the way. I would expect Collins to be more of a second half phenomenon.

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111. Kent Bazemore - Daniel E. Dobish
112. Buddy Hield - Ryan Knaus
113. Zach LaVine
114. Dwyane Wade
115. Josh Richardson - Mike Gallagher
116. Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
117. Steven Adams - me
118. Gorgui Dieng
119. Jayson Tatum
120. Seth Curry - Dr. A

Comments: Keeping it with the Hawks, I’m a believer that Kent Bazemore can bounce back nicely this year. After a brutal shooting slump to start the season (9.8 ppg on 36.6 percent shooting in his first 37 games), Bazemore closed out with 12.1 ppg, 1.2 spg, 0.8 bpg and 1.5 3s on 45.4 percent shooting over his final 36 games. He also had 20 points in 25 minutes on Thursday night. … You know who does Kent Bazemore even better than Kent Bazemore though? Josh Richardson. He’s the player I forget about in every draft and then berate myself for being a moron the minute it happens. Richardson so far this preseason: 13.8 ppg, 1.4 spg, 1.6 bpg and 1.6 3s in five games. His ADP in Yahoo drafts is 142, which is looking more and more absurd. Richardson’s strong preseason comes after he posted 12.7 ppg, 2.3 spg, 1.4 bpg and 2.2 3s over his final 10 games last year. … Steven Adams is not exciting, but as a late-round center in a deeper league, he’s pretty serviceable (or at least that's what I'm telling myself in a league where I had few other options left at center). He had eight points, seven boards, a steal and five blocks with Russell Westbrook, Paul George and Carmelo Anthony all in the lineup Tuesday night.

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121. JaMychal Green - Dr. A
122. Austin Rivers
123. Richaun Holmes
124. Lou Williams - me
125. Enes Kanter
126. Boban Marjanovic - Gallagher
127. Milos Teodosic
128. Jordan Clarkson
129. Dirk Nowitzki - Knaus
130. Ersan Ilyasova - Dobish

Comments: I aim less for upside in a draft this deep and try to get guys I know are going to produce. With that in mind, Lou is a pretty automatic late-round source of points, 3s and FT percentage. … I was wondering when Dirk would go, and definitely considered taking him myself. Ryan took on some injury / durability risk here, but at 129 it’s really hard to argue. Dirk was the No. 77 player in 9-category leagues last season. And over his final 42 games, he was No. 59, with averages of 15.0 ppg, 6.8 rpg, 0.6 spg, 0.8 bpg and 1.5 3s.

131. Jabari Parker
132. Dario Saric
133. Will Barton - Raducanu
134. Ryan Anderson
135. Wilson Chandler
136. Dion Waiters
137. Rudy Gay
138. Joe Ingles
139. Skal Labissiere
140. J.J. Redick

Comments: And the sneakiest pick of the 2017 30-Deep Draft is… Joe Ingles??!?!? He's looking likely to start for the Jazz, and in 26 games as a starter last season, he put up 9.3 ppg, 4.0 rpg, 3.4 apg, 1.6 spg and 2.0 3s on 46.6 percent from the field. It’s worth noting that Ingles had a pretty smelly preseason, averaging just 4.6 ppg in 23 minutes per game. … I also really like Barton and Chandler as late-round picks, especially in a deeper format where you just need to guarantee some production. It’s easy to forget about Barton, but he continues to find ways to put up numbers. After a 26-point outing on Tuesday, he finished the preseason at 13.0 ppg, 3.4 rpg, 4.0 apg, 1.6 spg, 0.8 bpg and 2.0 3s. … I’m intrigued by Labissiere as a late-round flier in a deeper league. His preseason numbers: 9.6 ppg, 4.0 rpg, 1.0 spg, 1.0 bpg and 0.4 3s.

141. Chandler Parsons
142. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
143. Willy Hernangomez - Ethan Norof
144. Tyler Johnson
145. Wesley Matthews
146. Taj Gibson
147. Tyler Ulis
148. Greg Monroe
149. Alex Len
150. Patty Mills

Comments: I’m a no on Parsons. 2.8 ppg in four preseason games is not a positive sign that a renaissance is coming. … The only reason I can see that Hernangomez is going this late is confusion surrounding the Knicks’ rotation. It’s a gamble that could pay off nicely, as Willy H. posted 11.6 ppg, 9.3 rpg, 2.0 apg, 0.9 spg and 0.5 bpg in 22 games as a starter last season. … I’m not big into tying up additional roster spots with handcuffing, but if you’re taking Eric Bledsoe, you’d be almost silly not to add Tyler Ulis late. With Bledsoe sidelined down the stretch, Ulis posted 16.1 ppg, 3.6 rpg, 8.5 apg, 1.2 spg and 0.9 3s over his final 15 games. … Caldwell-Pope and Matthews are both sub-40 shooters who will get you some points, steals and plenty of 3s.

151. Jonathan Isaac
152. Terrence Ross
153. Justise Winslow
154. Caleb Swanigan
155. Allen Crabbe
156. Mason Plumlee
157. Dewayne Dedmon
158. Jaylen Brown - Norof
159. Tyreke Evans
160. Marcus Morris

Comments: Crabbe potentially has the right role to succeed in Brooklyn, though he’s not likely to be much of an asset outside of points and 3s. He averaged just 2.9 rpg and 1.2 apg in 29 minutes a game last year. … Jaylen Brown was a potentially savvy pick this late. When he got 25 or more minutes last season (15 games), he put up 12.7 ppg, 4.9 rpg, 1.7 apg, 0.9 spg and 1.6 3s. … Justise Winslow has shot just 32.0 percent from the field this preseason — a bleak sign for a guy who shot 35.6 percent in 18 games last season — but he did post an intriguing all-around line on Wednesday night: seven points, seven boards, nine assists, a steal and a trey. And yes, he shot 1-of-7 from the field in that game.

161. Thon Maker
162. Kyle Kuzma
163. Andre Iguodala
164. Tristan Thompson
165. Ish Smith
166. Frank Ntilikina
167. Cody Zeller
168. Kenneth Faried - Raducanu
169. Malik Monk
170. Bojan Bogdanovic

Comments: Two players in particular jump out at me in this group of 10, and both happen to have alliterative names: Kyle Kuzma and Malik Monk. As for Kuzma, they’re already saying “KOOOOOZ” when he gets the ball at Lakers games, and with good reason: The No. 27 overall pick has hit double figures in all five of his preseason games, averaging 19.2 ppg, 4.0 rpg, 0.8 spg and 1.6 3s. Luke Walton recently said he’s going to find playing time for the rookie. Based on how good Kuzma has looked, it's hard not to believe him. … As for Monk, he has posted 19.7 ppg in his last three preseason games, jacking up 31 3s in the span (hitting 10 of them). There’s no doubt Monk has a buttery jumper, and with Nicolas Batum out, he appears to have a full-on green light.

171. Dejounte Murray - Dobish
172. Moe Harkless - Knaus
173. Kelly Olynyk
174. Al-Farouq Aminu
175. Norman Powell - Gallagher
176. Jeremy Lamb
177. Denzel Valentine - me
178. Bogdan Bogdanovic
179. Derrick Rose
180. Tony Snell - Dr. A

Comments: Yes, this draft is just now hitting its midway point at 180, and things are only getting more spicy. Ryan set off fireworks in the draft room with his pick of Harkless, who looks like a starter for the Blazers, is still only 24 and was quite good for half a season last year. His first 40 games in 2016-17: 11.8 ppg, 5.1 rpg, 1.2 spg, 0.9 bpg and 1.2 3s. … As for my pick, Valentine looks like he’ll have a significant role for the Bulls early on, and had his most complete all-around game of the preseason Tuesday night (14-7-4 with two steals, a block and two treys). In five preseason games, he is averaging 12.2 ppg, 3.6 rpg, 2.8 apg, 1.0 spg and, most notably, 3.0 3s.

181. DeMarre Carroll - Dr. A
182. Frank Kaminsky
183. Justin Holiday
184. Danny Green - me
185. Trevor Booker
186. Jarrett Allen - Gallagher
187. Jerian Grant
188. C.J. Miles
189. Courtney Lee - Knaus
190. Evan Turner - Dobish

Comments: This draft took place before Holiday started to have a monster preseason. After his 28-point game on Tuesday, Holiday is at 16.6 ppg, 5.4 rpg, 2.4 apg, 2.0 spg and 3.0 treys. There’s no guarantee it’ll carry over into regular season games, but Holiday looks like a must-add even in shallow leagues. … Carroll is a potentially useful source of 3s and steals who is essentially free. … As for my pick (Danny Green), in a 30-team league I’m willing to overlook his lack of scoring (7.2 ppg and 7.3 ppg the last two seasons), and this pick is 100 percent about Green’s three best categories: He averaged 1.0 spg, 0.8 bpg and 1.7 3s last year.

191. Bobby Portis
192. Doug McDermott
193. Kyle O’Quinn - Raducanu
194. Lauri Markkanen
195. Lance Stephenson
196. Stanley Johnson
197. Ramon Sessions
198. Jonathon Simmons
199. Jahlil Okafor
200. Emmanuel Mudiay

Comments: The pick that pops here (not to be confused with pick and pop, though that also applies) is Markkanen. According to ESPN's announcers on Tuesday, Fred Hoiberg has called him the best shooter on the team, and he showcased that with 18 points, five boards, four 3s and a steal in his preseason breakout. If you’re drafting this week, move him up considerably from 194. … Reminder: It’s spelled Jonathon with an O, and don’t forget about Simmons if you’re in a deeper league. He’s at 17.0 ppg, 3.3 rpg, 3.7 apg, 1.7 spg and 1.3 3s in his last three games. … Jahlil Okafor has essentially plummeted off the fantasy radar, but is probably only one injury away from potentially having value (you know I’m enthusiastic when I use “probably” and “potentially” that close together). Nevertheless, keep Okafor on your deep-league watch list. Do not keep Emeka Okafor (also with the Sixers, trying to make an NBA roster for the first time since 2012-13) on the same list.

10 Other Notable Picks:

206. Caris LeVert - Things seem crowded in Brooklyn, but he’s an exciting prospect who’s not that far away from a big role.

234. Mike Muscala - Could be a useful source of points, boards, 3s and blocks off the Hawks’ bench.

236. Andre Roberson - The poor man’s Danny Green put up 1.2 spg, 1.0 bpg and 0.6 3s (with 6.6 ppg) last season.

237. DeAndre Bembry (me) - He and Muscala could anchor the Hawks’ second unit early on.

254. Terry Rozier - There’s talk that he could be in line for a bigger role in Beantown this year. Unloaded a 15-10-6 line on Monday night. Followed it up with 7-2-2.

271. Dragan Bender - The 19-year-old had his best game of the preseason on Wednesday (13 points, seven boards, a block and three treys). At 271, it’s hard to argue.

273. Domantas Sabonis - Scored 17 and 12 points in his last two preseason games. I considered drafting him at 237 before taking Bembry.

318. Jameer Nelson - We all assume (perhaps rightfully so) that Jamal Murray will be the man at PG in Denver, but Nelson probably isn’t just gonna disappear. Even if the 35-year-old has a hard time matching last year’s stats (9.2 ppg, 5.1 apg and 1.4 3s), anything even close to that can be helpful in this format. IT’S PICK #318!

327. Justin Anderson - He’s a forgotten man to the point that he hasn’t had a Rotoworld blurb since April, but he has a fantasy-friendly game and may be just an injury or two away.

360. Jason Terry (Dr. A) - Shoutout to this draft’s Mr. Irrelevant, who is starting his 19th season in the league at age 40. What a beautiful thing.