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Targets and Touches

Divisional Targets/Touches

by Graham Barfield
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

The Divisional Round update will be the final Targets and Touches Report of the 2015-2016 season. To anyone that has read, followed along, and hopefully found this column useful over the past five months: thank you. This column has been a lot of fun to work on every week and I genuinely appreciate all of the kind e-mails, comments, and tweets we have received as a result.

 

So, the analysis in the final update will be brief in nature just due to the fact eight teams are remaining in the playoffs. As always, all targets/touches data is compiled from Pro Football Reference. All cornerback data is sourced via Pro Football Focus.

 

Editor's Note: Stay up to date on all the breaking news at the Rotoworld Player News page, and follow @Rotoworld_FB and @GrahamBarfield on Twitter.

 

Here’s the last targets/touches report for about eight months:

 

Arizona Cardinals

 

Targets: Larry Fitzgerald (14, 11, 6, 5, 5, 11), Michael Floyd (2, 12, 9, 8, 8, 4), John Brown (7, 8, 5, 9, 4, 11), David Johnson (4, 3, 7, 4, 6, 8)

 

RB Touches: David Johnson (10, 24, 24, 33, 12, 14)

 

Red zone Targets: John Brown (1, 0, 1, 2, 1, 1), Larry Fitzgerald (2, 0, 0, 1, 3, 1), Michael Floyd (0, 2, 0, 0, 0, 0), David Johnson (0, 2, 1, 0, 2, 1)

 

Red zone Carries: David Johnson (3, 3, 2, 3, 3, 1)

 

CBs Thrown At: Patrick Peterson 1, 6, 7, 2, 5, 3 (0-0, 4-40, 1-7, 2-18, 3-8, 2-16-1) and Jerraud Powers 4, 4, 6 (3-44, 3-25, 4-31)

 

Analysis: The last time the Cardinals and Packers played (in Week 16), David Johnson rushed for 9-39-1 (4.33 YPC) and added 3-88 (on six targets) receiving in a 38-8 Arizona route. Keep in mind, Johnson only played on 50.8 percent of snaps that day. Here was the Cardinals target share distribution over the final four weeks of the regular season: Michael Floyd (21.2%), John Brown (21.2%), David Johnson (18.2%), and Larry Fitzgerald (16.8%).

 

Editor's Note: The end of the 2015-16 FanDuel NFL season is upon us. Whether you're new to the daily fantasy sports world or have been around for ages, it never hurts to sharpen your DFS NBA skills. RotoGrinders has an awesome guide on "Daily Fantasy Basketball 101: Tips and Strategies" to get you started. Check it out.

 

 

Carolina Panthers

 

Targets: Greg Olsen (9, 12, 4*, 8, 6, 2), Jonathan Stewart (4, 3, 1, 0, 0, 0), Ted Ginn (0, 10, 3, 14, 3, 0), Devin Funchess (4, 3, 5, 7, 1, 8), Fozzy Whittaker (2, 2, 0), Cameron Artis-Payne (2, 1, 2)

 

RB Touches: Jonathan Stewart (24, 24, 11*, 0, 0, 0), Cameron Artis-Payne (16, 6, 16), Fozzy Whittaker (4, 7, 0)

 

Red zone Targets: Greg Olsen (2, 0, 1, 1, 0, 1), Ted Ginn (0, 1, 0, 3, 0, 0), Devin Funchess (1, 1, 1, 3, 0, 1), Jonathan Stewart (0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0)

 

Red zone Carries: Jonathan Stewart (3, 5, 3, 0, 0, 0), Cam Newton (1, 3, 0, 0, 3, 3), Mike Tolbert (0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 2), Cameron Artis-Payne (1, 0, 4), Fozzy Whittaker (0, 1, 0)

 

CBs Thrown At: Josh Norman 6, 5, 6, 8, 6, 6 (2-16, 2-30, 4-33, 5-28-1, 5-80, 2-20) and Charles Tillman 3, 5, 5* (2-37-1, 3-37, 1-13)

 

Analysis: Over the final six weeks of the regular season, Devin Funchess led the Panthers in red zone targets with 7-of-26 (26.9%) looks. The only issue is he finished fourth in Carolina’s target share distribution (14.7%) during that span behind Ted Ginn (21.7%), Greg Olsen (21.5%), and Corey Brown (15.9%). I’ll note here that when Seattle and Carolina met in Week 6 this season, Greg Olsen went for 7-131-1 (on 11 targets). Seattle finished the regular season ranked No. 26 in DVOA vs. tight ends, per Football Outsiders. They were in the top-4 against No. 1 and No. 2 wide receivers.

 

Denver Broncos

 

Targets: Emmanuel Sanders (9, 8, 6, 16, 5, 8), Demaryius Thomas (13, 6, 14, 12, 12, 9), Ronnie Hillman (1, 1, 9, 0, 4, 3), C.J. Anderson (4, 1*, 0, 3, 2, 3), Owen Daniels (6, 3, 4, 5, 7, 1), Vernon Davis (2, 3, 9, 3, 0, 0)

 

RB Touches: Ronnie Hillman (15, 19, 19, 14, 13, 17) and C.J. Anderson (19, 8, 0, 5, 10, 16)

 

Red zone Targets: Demaryius Thomas (1, 1, 1, 3, 2, 4) Emmanuel Sanders (0, 0, 0, 1, 1, 1), Owen Daniels (0, 0, 1, 1, 1, 1), Ronnie Hillman (0, 0, 0, 2, 0, 0), Vernon Davis (1, 0, 1, 1, 0, 0) – No Red Zone Targets in Week 17

 

Red zone Carries: Ronnie Hillman (1, 2, 2, 3, 1, 1) and C.J. Anderson (2, 0, 0, 1, 1, 4)

 

CBs Thrown At: Chris Harris Jr. 3, 2, 6, 15, 7, 3 (3-26, 1-10, 2-29, 14-164-2, 4-41, 1-10), Aqib Talib 3, 6, 5, 12, 6, 6 (1-5, 4-41, 2-12, 9-89, 5-47-1, 5-108-1), Bradley Roby 5, 2, 6, 15, 7, 8 (4-36, 1-16, 3-23, 10-82-1, 4-20, 4-21)

 

Analysis: Outside of a note that Peyton Manning will start for Denver in the Divisional Round, there isn’t much to cover. Here was Manning’s target distribution on his pass attempts during the regular season this year: Demaryius Thomas (98), Emmanuel Sanders (90), Owen Daniels (43), C.J. Anderson (21), Jordan Norwood (19), Ronnie Hillman (15).

 

Green Bay Packers

 

Targets: Randall Cobb (5, 12, 7, 3, 8, 8), Davante Adams (7, 3, 8, 6, 6, 4*), Eddie Lacy (1, 1, 0, 2, 2, 0), James Jones (3, 7, 9, 11, 13, 11), Richard Rodgers (8, 2, 4, 3, 8, 4), James Starks (7, 4, 1, 0, 3, 2)

 

RB Touches: Eddie Lacy (6, 25, 11, 13, 15, 12) and James Starks (14, 15, 10, 3, 11, 13)

 

Red zone Targets: Randall Cobb (1, 0, 1, 1, 1, 3), James Jones, (0, 0, 0, 2, 4, 0), Davante Adams (2, 0, 3, 3, 0, 1), Eddie Lacy (0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0), Richard Rodgers (2, 1, 1, 0, 1, 0), James Starks (1, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0)

 

Red zone Carries: Eddie Lacy (1, 4, 3, 1, 0, 1) and James Starks (1, 1, 1, 0, 0, 4)

 

CBs Thrown At: Casey Hayward 3, 9, 6, 2, 2, 7 (3-32, 3-42, 4-35, 1-10, 2-32, 5-35), Quinten Rollins 4, 11, 3, 2, 1, 2 (2-19, 6-70, 3-30, 1-22, 0-0, 1-4), Damarious Randall 0, 4, 9, 5, 4, 8 (0-0, 1-12, 7-112-1, 5-55-1, 2-27, 6-90)

 

Analysis: It’s early in the week, but it seems as if Davante Adams (MCL sprain) will likely miss the Divisional Round versus the Cardinals. After Adams went down with the aforementioned injury in the Wild-card round, Jared Abbrederis played 28 snaps and saw four targets. Here's how the Packers allocated running back snaps in the Wild-card round against Washington: James Starks (33), John Kuhn (30), and Eddie Lacy (27).

 

Kansas City Chiefs

 

Targets: Jeremy Maclin (10, 9, 10, 7, 4, 4*), Travis Kelce (3, 5, 7, 8, 2, 10), Charcandrick West (3, 1, 2, 1, 1, 1), Albert Wilson (3, 6, 4, 4, 6, 4), Spencer Ware (2, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0)

 

RB Touches: Charcandrick West (11, 10, 18, 15, 14, 9) and Spencer Ware (9, 8, 0, 5, 16, 16)

 

Red zone Targets: Jeremy Maclin (2, 0, 2, 1, 0, 0), Travis Kelce (0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0), Charcandrick West (0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0), Albert Wilson (1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0)

 

Red zone Carries: Charcandrick West (1, 0, 1, 0, 1, 1) and Spencer Ware (3, 0, 0, 0, 1, 4)

 

CBs Thrown At: Marcus Peters 14, 7, 11, 9, 6, 7 (9-92, 4-77, 4-86, 2-20, 2-28-1, 4-44) and Sean Smith 6, 6, 9, 3, 5, 9 (3-48-1, 3-22, 5-43-1, 0-0, 4-37, 5-52)

 

Analysis: On Tuesday, Chiefs HC Andy Reid called Jeremy Maclin’s ankle sprain “mild” and mentioned he could practice later in the week. We’ll see. Here’s a great stat via Evan Silva on the Chiefs backfield split and effectiveness over the past two weeks: Spencer Ware has 32 touches, has played on 53 percent of snaps, and averaged 4.47 yards per carry while Charcandrick West has 23 touches, has played on 42 percent of snaps, and is averaging a paltry 2.86 YPC.

 

New England Patriots

 

Targets: Rob Gronkowski (10*, 0, 4, 11, 6, 7), Danny Amendola (0, 13, 8, 2*, 0, 4), Brandon LaFell (9, 9, 8, 5, 1, 4), Scott Chandler (11, 7, 0, 0, 0, 1), James White (5, 13, 6, 8, 5, 3), Brandon Bolden (4, 5, 0, 3, 7, 2), Steven Jackson (0, 1)

 

RB Touches: James White (5, 12, 5, 8, 7, 5), Brandon Bolden (8, 4, 16, 12, 14, 11), Steven Jackson (7, 15)

 

Red zone Targets: Rob Gronkowski (0, 0, 1, 1, 0, 0), Scott Chandler (1, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0), Danny Amendola (0, 3, 2, 1, 0, 1), Brandon LaFell (0, 1, 2, 0, 0, 0), James White (1, 1, 0, 1, 1, 0)

 

Red zone Carries: James White (1, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0), Brandon Bolden (0, 1, 2, 1, 0, 2), Steven Jackson (1, 1)

 

CBs Thrown At: Malcolm Butler 6, 5, 4, 5, 4, 6 (5-89, 3-30-1, 1-49, 2-12, 1-6-1, 3-49) and Logan Ryan 9, 3, 4, 9, 6, 4 (2-40, 2-18, 1-40, 7-114, 4-50-1, 4-92)

 

Analysis: Akin to the Denver Broncos, there isn’t much to look into here. Julian Edelman (foot) is set to return against the Chiefs. Note here that Edelman led the Patriots in target share prior to his injury (23.9%) and red zone targets per contest (1.9).

 

Pittsburgh Steelers

 

Targets: Antonio Brown (11, 10, 18, 11, 17, 12), Martavis Bryant (8, 9, 14, 3, 3, 6), Heath Miller (0, 10, 5, 6, 3, 3), DeAngelo Williams (6, 2, 6, 6, 2, 0), Markus Wheaton (6, 7, 11, 5, 5, 5), Fitzgerald Toussaint (0, 8), Jordan Todman (0)

 

RB Touches: DeAngelo Williams (31, 25, 19, 23, 7, 0), Fitzgerald Toussaint (12, 21), Jordan Todman (11)

 

Red zone Targets: Heath Miller (0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0), Antonio Brown (3, 2, 2, 1, 3, 1), Martavis Bryant (2, 0, 1, 0, 0, 1), Markus Wheaton (2, 1, 3, 2, 2, 0), DeAngelo Williams (2, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0)

 

Red zone Carries: DeAngelo Williams (3, 7, 2, 4, 0, 0), Fitzgerald Toussaint (1, 2), Jordan Todman (2)

 

CBs Thrown At: William Gay 3, 3, 6, 9, 4, 7 (2-36, 2-28, 3-35, 7-92, 2-26, 6-64), Antwon Blake 3, 7, 4, 1, 7, 5 (2-29, 5-117-1, 3-32-1, 1-5, 4-71, 1-8), Brandon Boykin 3 (3-20)

 

Analysis: Unfortunately, there is a lot of ground to cover here. Because it’s so early in the news cycle, we don’t have many answers on some of the Steelers’ key players outside of DeAngelo Williams (foot). It seems highly unlikely he’ll play in the Divisional Round. He visited a foot specialist on Monday and is “on the outside looking in” in terms of playing this week. Antonio Brown (concussion) is going through the league’s concussion protocol and Steelers’ coach Mike Tomlin is “hopeful” Brown can play against the Broncos on Sunday. Finally, on Tuesday Ben Roethlisberger mentioned he has torn ligaments in his right (throwing) shoulder along with a sprained AC joint. However, he is “very likely” to play this coming weekend. Keep it locked to our Player News page for updates on all of the Steelers’ injuries.

 

Seattle Seahawks

 

Targets: Doug Baldwin (7, 9, 6, 10, 7, 7), Tyler Lockett (7, 7, 7, 7, 4, 5), Fred Jackson (2, 4, 3, 8, 1, 5), Jermaine Kearse (1, 8, 8, 5, 3, 4), Bryce Brown (1, 1, 0, 0), Christine Michael (0, 2, 1, 1)

 

RB Touches: Christine Michael (16, 8, 17, 22), Bryce Brown (9, 7, 10, 0), Fred Jackson (3, 8, 2, 7, 1, 3)

 

Red zone Targets: Doug Baldwin (2, 4, 4, 2, 0, 1), Fred Jackson (2, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0), Jermaine Kearse (1, 0, 0, 2, 0, 0), Tyler Lockett (1, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0)

 

Red zone Carries: Christine Michael (2, 0, 1, 1), Bryce Brown (3, 1, 3, 0), Fred Jackson (0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0), Russell Wilson (2, 0, 0, 0, 2, 0)

 

CBs Thrown At: Richard Sherman 3, 2, 2, 3, 6, 3 (3-24, 1-6, 1-31, 0-0, 2-32-1, 2-24, 1-10), Jeremy Lane 7, 6, 4, 3, 3 (4-58, 4-25-1, 3-5, 2-25, 2-16), DeShawn Shead 3, 5, 2 (2-21, 1-17-1, 2-8)

 

Analysis: Without Marshawn Lynch (abdomen), Christine Michael played 67.2 percent of Seahawks snaps against Minnesota. Bryce Brown didn’t play a single snap while Fred Jackson played on 29.3 percent of snaps. I have no idea whether or not Lynch will play this week in Carolina at this point.

 

I’ll have more on Doug Baldwin’s DFS outlook in the Divisional Round in my playoff Tiers column this week, but I’ll note here that Baldwin ran 77.7% of his routes out of the slot in Week 13-17 plus the Wild-card round. Josh Norman traveled in to the slot on just 11 of his 1,079 snaps (1.0 percent) in the 2015-16 season.