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Brian Hill
AP
Waiver Wired

Waiver Wire: Week 11

by John Daigle
Updated On: November 13, 2019, 10:24 am ET

Welcome to the Week 11 edition of Waiver Wired for the 2019 season. With the Green Bay Packers, New York Giants, Seattle Seahawks, and Tennessee Titans on bye, we’ll highlight two running backs that should not only get you through Week 11, but stay serviceable for the next few weeks. We’ll also discuss the absences of Devonta Freeman (toe), Austin Hooper (knee), Emmanuel Sanders (ribs), Brandin Cooks (concussion) and Sterling Shepard (concussion) all the while directing a majority of our leftover FAAB towards their projected replacements.

As a reminder, the drop list consists of players who are rostered in at least 50 percent of Yahoo leagues and are no longer must-have assets, recommended adds are available in over 50 percent of Yahoo leagues, the watch list contains in-depth notes on players who are worthy of roster spots if possible, and deep cuts includes player notes on those rostered in five percent or fewer of Yahoo leagues.

 

 

The Drop List
QB: Matthew Stafford, Baker Mayfield
RB: LeSean McCoy
WR: JuJu Smith-Schuster, A.J. Green, Brandin Cooks, Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Sterling Shepard
TE: Vance McDonald

Matthew Stafford’s back injury reportedly dates back to last season and could truly keep him shelved for the foreseeable future. There’s also no guarantee he’s able to continue launching 20-plus yard grenades at a league-high rate when/if he returns. Feel free to part with LeSean McCoy following his surprising healthy scratch on Sunday. There’s an off-chance he’s active after Damien Williams gifted a fumble-six to Titans LB Rashaan Evans in the second quarter, but it’s worth noting the latter still out-touched backup Darrel Williams 15 to 2 from that point forward. With James Washington surging on 5.7 targets per game in three contests since Pittsburgh’s Week 7 bye, Smith-Schuster’s finished as fantasy’s WR8, WR73, and WR46 in that span. I would only shed him for Brian Hill in a vacuum among Week 11’s ranked waiver options. After reportedly re-aggravating his ankle injury last week, it remains more probable than not that A.J. Green simply sits out for the rest of the year rather than risking any further damage for meaningless targets from rookie Ryan Finley. Brandin Cooks and Sterling Shepard are in similar situations that likely (and hopefully) keep both out for their own benefit to finish the year. Expect Terry McLaurin and Tyrell Williams to join this list ahead of Week 12 if neither prosper in cush matchups against the Jets and Bengals.

 

Overall Top 5
1. Brian Hill
2. Deebo Samuel
3. Phillip Dorsett
4. J.D. McKissic
5. Darius Slayton

For those simply looking to roster the best player available regardless of position, the rankings above take into account every factor from the positional lists minus the actual positions. These are listed in the precise order I’d prioritize waiver claims in Week 11. J.D. McKissic only gets the nod ahead of Darius Slayton because the Giants hit their bye this week.

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Handcuff Top 5
1. Alexander Mattison
2. Tony Pollard
3. Rashaad Penny
4. Ryquell Armstead
5. Wayne Gallman

For those refusing to stand pat and itching for an end-of-roster stash, the above list was carefully assembled to highlight league-winners in the event the player ahead of them misses any time. Presumed snaps, carries, targets, and the play-calling each are tied to have been factored in. This list could adjust weekly based on current situations. Reggie Bonnafon was removed following the mid-week addition of ex-Bears castoff Mike Davis behind Christian McCaffrey.

 

Quarterbacks
Josh Allen rostered in 76 percent of Yahoo leagues. No. 1 add if available.
1. Kyle Allen
2. Derek Carr
3. Nick Foles

Running Backs
Kareem Hunt rostered in 71 percent of Yahoo leagues. No. 1 add if available.
1. Brian Hill
2. J.D. McKissic
3. Raheem Mostert
4. Peyton Barber

Wide Receivers
Will Fuller rostered in 53 percent of Yahoo leagues. No. 1 add if available.
Dede Westbrook rostered in 56 percent of Yahoo leagues. No. 2 add if available.
1. Deebo Samuel
2. Phillip Dorsett
3. Darius Slayton
4. Andy Isabella
5. Russell Gage
6. Josh Reynolds

Tight Ends
1. Dallas Goedert
2. Darren Fells
3. Jacob Hollister
4. O.J. Howard
5. Noah Fant
6. Kyle Rudolph

Defense/Special Teams
Pittsburgh Steelers rostered in 71 percent of Yahoo leagues. No. 1 add if available.
1. Dallas Cowboys
2. Oakland Raiders
3. New York Jets

Kickers
1. Ka'imi Fairbairn
2. Sam Ficken

 

QUARTERBACKS
1. Kyle Allen, Panthers — Rostered in 18 percent of Yahoo leagues (Suggested 8% FAAB Bid)

Attribute Atlanta’s one-week improvement to new DC Jeff Ulbrich’s scheme change if you want, but this group is ultimately the same crop of players that have been scorched for 8.2 yards per attempt through the air while averaging an abysmal 1.4 sacks and 4.4 quarterback hits per game. Both Christian McCaffrey and D.J. Moore should have no issues feasting from Kyle Allen at home — especially given the Falcons’ poor No. 27 pressure rate (24.8%) created on the season.

2. Derek Carr, Raiders — Rostered in 8 percent of Yahoo Leagues (5%)

Carr has performed admirably of late, ranking as fantasy’s QB16 in several choice matchups since Week 7. His ceiling leaves much to be desired since he’s yet to top 300 yards in any game this year, but Cincinnati doesn’t offer a single threat if you’re simply looking for a 200-yard, two-touchdown floor play to replace Russell Wilson or Aaron Rodgers in Week 11.

3. Nick Foles, Colts — Rostered in 27 percent of Yahoo leagues (2%)

Foles obviously hasn’t played since Week 1 but he at the very least offers upside against an Indy secondary still fighting through Pierre Desir’s (hamstring) and Quincy Wilson’s (shoulder) nagging injuries. Upgrade the $88-million free agent acquisition over Carr if Dede Westbrook (shoulder) is officially cleared.

Watch List: On a day the Jets scored 34 points en route to notching their second victory of the season, Sam Darnold threw for just 230 yards and one score, salvaging an otherwise poor performance with an unprecedented two-yard touchdown scramble. He has another great on-paper matchup against Washington this week, but it’s fair to say he obviously can’t be trusted as a priority add. Stream at your own risk.

 

RUNNING BACKS
1. Brian Hill, Falcons – Rostered in 6 percent of Yahoo leagues (65%)

Hill’s rest of season outlook burst at the seams the moment Devonta Freeman (toe) exited in the third quarter against the Saints. Even with Kenjon Barner and Qadree Ollison available, Hill out-snapped both 38 to 10 in the interim, handling 20 carries and two targets as Atlanta’s replacement bell-cow. Guaranteed at least one start against the Panthers’ stone worst rush defense DVOA, Wyoming’s all-time leading rusher is an available RB2 in Week 11 who has an outside shot at taking this backfield over long-term. I would have no issues burning the No. 1 overall waiver spot on him even if it were a lock Freeman returns in Week 13.

Recommendation: Should be rostered in 10-team leagues

2. J.D. McKissic, Lions – Rostered in 21 percent of Yahoo leagues (20%)

We’ve been down this road before; splurging on someone in the Lions’ backfield only to see him get out-touched the following week. Having said that, McKissic was treated like a true bell-cow once Ty Johnson (concussion) exited in the first quarter, seeing 10 carries and seven targets on 58-of-83 snaps ahead of Paul Perkins (15 snaps) and Nick Bawden (11). McKissic also kept his pass-catching role for the entire game, running 36 routes to Perkins’ 7. If Johnson is ruled out, McKissic arguably makes for a Top 30 play if only for his soft hands in what should be a dominating workhorse position.

Recommendation: Should be rostered in 12-team leagues

3. Raheem Mostert, 49ers – Rostered in 4 percent of Yahoo leagues (5%)

Kyle Shanahan will obviously continue dispersing a two-headed backfield even with Matt Breida (ankle) away getting a second opinion on his ankle. Forward-thinkers should recall Mostert's average 11.3/67.3 on the ground and 1.3/22.7 receiving as a true Swiss army knife on 35 percent of San Francisco's snaps while Tevin Coleman was battling a high-ankle sprain in the team's first three contests. Even if it's just for this week, Mostert qualifies as an RB3 with Breida eyeing missed snaps. Prioritize over McKissic if Ty Johnson's cleared.

Recommendation: Should be rostered in 14-team leagues

4. Peyton Barber, Buccaneers – Rostered in 27 percent of Yahoo leagues (2%)

For the record, Ronald Jones is still the guy you want following season-highs in targets (8), catches (8), and routes run (23). But the second-year runner’s mid-fourth quarter fumble opened the door for Barber on the ensuing drive as it was the latter who recorded all three touches (including Tampa Bay's one-yard goal line touchdown) to close the game. Jones still has value if he’s being used over Dare Ogunbowale, but Barber’s at least re-entered the conversation as a touchdown-or-bust option for the desperate.

Recommendation: Should be rostered in 14-team leagues

Watch List: Kalen Ballage handled 24-of-29 backfield touches on 82 percent of Miami’s offensive snaps but continues to run directly into his o-line every time the ball’s in his hands. He’s now fallen down for 55/113 and 2.05 yards per carry on the season…Derrius Guice is expected to return to a majority role ahead of Adrian Peterson, but jury’s out on what that entails outside of a handful of targets. If there were ever a game that particular trait translated to fantasy production, though, it’s this week against the Jets, who have allowed the fifth-most receptions to opposing running backs.

Deep League: With Mike Davis suddenly in town, Reggie Bonnafon is no longer the trusted handcuff to Christian McCaffrey. Reminder Davis compiled 112/514/4 rushing and 34/214/1 receiving as a true chess piece with the Seahawks just last year…Even with LeSean McCoy healthy scratched, Darrel Williams played merely 17-of-82 snaps and got out-touched by Damien Williams 24 to 3. He isn’t anything more than a dynasty stash unless Damien’s snaps are scaled back following his second quarter fumble.