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Zurich Classic Preview

Updated On: April 22, 2019, 1:00 pm ET

The PGA TOUR heads to NOLA this week for the Zurich Classic. 

This event has been running since 1938 but it will be the third edition since switching to a team-based format. 

There are 80 teams of two in play this week. They will play Four-ball (best ball) during rounds one and three while rounds two and four will use the Foursomes (alternate shot) format. The top 35 teams (and ties) after 36 holes will make it through the cut line. From a percentage standpoint, that makes it one of the toughest cuts to crack all year (roughly just 45% of golfers will play all four rounds). 

Winners receive 400 FedExCup Points each and a purse of $7.5 Million is also up for grabs. 

On paper it's a good idea. You switch things up from the week-to-week grind and you also give golfers a little practice when it comes to team competition. However, without the fantasy aspect attached to it, it becomes easy to tune out and treat it as an off week. Perhaps that is just me living in a fantasy golf bubble though. 

 

The Course

TPC Louisiana has played host here since 2005 (barring one year due to Hurrican Katrina). It's a Pete Dye design that plays as a 72 and stretches out past 7,400 yards. 

The tee-to-green test is relatively easy as the field averages roughly 65 percent of fairways and 67 percent of greens in regulation. 

There are five water hazards on property and they come into play on seven holes. Golfers that just played well during the Florida Swing might feel comfortable again this week. 

What does it take to succeed here? When it was a stroke-play event we saw lots of driving metrics over-index (SG Off-the-Tee, Distance, Distance + Fairways) but as a team event we've seen Cam Smith and Jonas Blixt win then Scott Piercy and Billy Horschel win. Throw in Kevin Kisner and Scott Brown into that mix and suddenly we have a wild stew of course-fit elements. I wouldn't get too caught up in those elements this week especially with some rough weather in the forecast which can always alter what kind of golfers fit the course, also. 

For grasses, we have bermudagrass this week with some overseed poa trivialis on the greens. It's that time of the year when weather over the last few months will dictate which grass is dominating right now. Comfort on bermuda is a plus. 

 

Course Quotes

Sifting through some past quotes over at the Fantasy Golfanac, let's try to break down the course to see how it will play.

Hudson Swafford: "Pete Dye courses, they’re visually very intimidating and very tough. You know, I feel like you kind of have to take the trouble off the tee. If it’s water, you might want to shy a little away from it. But fairway bunkers, stuff like that, holes like number 12, you’ve got to press that left fairway bunker to have a good shot into the green."

Daniel Berger: "I think the fact that it kind of reminds me of a Florida-style golf course, so I’m used to kind of seeing water on one side of the hole. You’ve just got to pick your targets and get good shots."

Billy Horschel: "With his [Pete Dye] designs, it’s a visual intimidation that he does off the tees and into greens and everything. And then when you get out there, you realize, man, there’s a lot more room or there’s a lot more green to hit to. I think it’s a mind game he plays with you. "

Kevin Kisner"We know each other’s games so well, and we’re comfortable with each other and we know we’re both trying hard. Nobody gets upset at anybody. We know we’re doing the best we can. Looking forward to getting back here next year."

Scott Piercy: "Some the tee shots I don’t particularly like, you know, because of shape shot or whatever, I could kind of free myself up and hit a good shot because I knew I had a partner that felt good on the tee."

Overview: Swafford and Horschel talk about the struggled that come with playing on a Pete Dye track. Berger makes the connection to Florida, given all the water that's in play. Lastly, Kisner and Piercy talk about the team aspect of this event. Kisner and Brown don't particularly fit this course well but their chemistry is tough to beat. 

 

Correlated Courses

Looking at grass types, geography, course attributes, and past performance, here are a few courses/events that I think could prove to be a good pointer this week: 

TPC Sawgrass
Bay Hill Club & Lodge
PGA National 
TPC Deere Run
Muirfield Village GC

One theme this week is easy-to-hit fairways but we see courses like Sawgrass, PGA National and Bay Hill pop up due to the water troubles found on the course and bermuda turf. Daniel Berger talked about this reminding him of a Florida-style course and the numbers back that up. 

 

The Weather

Thursday: A 60% chance of showers/storms with a high near 77 degrees. Winds at 5 to 15 MPH. 

Friday: A slight chance of showers with a high near 78 degrees. Winds at 5 to 10 MPH. 

Weekend: Temps in the upper 70s with calm winds. 

There was plenty of wind to deal with last week at Harbour Town but this week it's more about avoiding the storms. This is nothing new for the event which has been plagued by delays over the years. Hopefully they get lucky and get avoid any serious delays. 

Teams to Watch

Jason Day & Adam Scott
Tough to match the pedigree of this squad. As for their course history, Day posted a pair of top 5s in four tries as an individual while Scott is getting his first taste of the Dye design. 

Tommy Fleetwood & Sergio Garcia
This team has two of the best ball-strikers in the world. That will stand up well on any course but even more so on a Pete Dye design that can be tricky from tee-to-green. 

Sam Burns & Cameron Champ
Whether it's the pedigree or the local angle, this team is really popping to the top of mind for me. Burns is an LSU alum but hadn't played the course much until last year. That being said, he should still have an extra layer of confidence playing so close to his old stomping grounds, with familiar weather and turf. Burns was also in the hunt last week at the Heritage so he brings some good vibes there, as well. 

Patrick Reed & Patrick Cantlay 
Another local angle with Reed who went to high school nearby. This duo has finished T14 and T7 in two tries at the team format so it shouldn't be a surprise if they are right in the mix again this week. 

Kevin Kisner & Scott Brown 
Speaking of team success, this Southern duo has been one of the best under these team conditions. They lost in a playoff in 2017 and finished 15th last year. When asked about a course fit Scott Brown said the course doesn't really fit them at all since they don't have the distance but their team chemistry has been carrying them to the top of the board. 

Abraham Ancer & Jhonattan Vegas
I talked about off-the-tee play being important when this was an individual event. If that holds true then Ancer-Vegas become very appealing as they rank 2nd and 6th in this field when it comes to the total number of strokes gained off-the-tee over the last 52 weeks. 

 

Ranking the Field 

1. Jason Day & Adam Scott
2. Patrick Cantlay & Patrick Reed
3. Sergio Garcia & Tommy Fleetwood
4. Jon Rahm & Ryan Palmer
5. Tony Finau & Kyle Stanley
6. Ian Poulter & Sam Horsfield
7. Billy Horschel & Scott Piercy
8. Lucas Glover & Chez Reavie
9. Henrik Stenson & Graeme McDowell
10. Sam Burns & Cameron Champ
11. Brooks Koepka & Chase Koepka
12. Louis Oosthuizen & Charl Schwartzel
13. Abraham Ancer & Jhonattan Vegas
14. Brian Stuard & Russell Knox
15. Brian Gay & Rory Sabbatini
16. Kevin Kisner & Scott Brown
17. Bubba Watson & J.B. Holmes
18. Nick Watney & Charley Hoffman
19. Padraig Harrington & Shane Lowry
20. Si Woo Kim & Sangmoon Bae
21. Sungjae Im & Whee Kim
22. Adam Hadwin & Aaron Baddeley
23. Joaquin Niemann & Dylan Frittelli
24. Andrew Landry & Austin Cook
25. Branden Grace & Justin Harding
 

Check back on Tuesday afternoon for our DFS Dish and Wednesday morning for the Expert Picks.


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